Expert Korean Baseball Picks June 21

Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giants: Over 9.5 (-122)

The Lions and Giants clash in what should be a high-scoring matchup at Sajik Baseball Stadium in Busan. I don’t have the most faith in either starter, so there should be plenty of fireworks.

Choi Won-tae is struggling mightily on the mound for the Lions. The 28-year-old former LG Twin enters with a 5.18 ERA and 1.48 WHIP across 13 starts. Choi’s numbers have ticked up since posting a 3.75 ERA in 2022. He recorded an ERA of 4.30 and 4.26 in the next two seasons, and tailing off too much this year.

He has been rocked against the Giants in two matchups in 2025. Choi notched a 7.88 ERA through eight innings on the bump. Expect the Giants to do the same, as they’ve figured out how to exploit Choi’s poo velocity this season. However, Giants’ starter Park Se-woong doesn’t have a great history against the Lions.

Park has an 8.71 ERA in five poor innings versus the Lions. The 29-year-old hasn’t been at his best as of late, either, with an ERA of 4.34 and a 1.40 WHIP. He’s coming off three horrid performances, allowing 18 earned runs in his previous three starts! In his latest start versus the Lions on May 29, Park finished with an 8.44 ERA and 1.69 WHIP.

디아즈 끝내기 쓰리런!!!!!!!!!! 시즌 27호!! pic.twitter.com/TqZ6HJMGR8

— 꼬리별 (@sscomet3) June 18, 2025

The Giants are first in the KBO with a team batting average of .284, while the Lions are second at .268! Additionally, the Lions are first by a wide margin in home runs with 82. So, the over looks like the play here for our free KBO picks today!